VC
Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered strong top-line growth: net sales rose 17% to $168.76M; diluted EPS of $0.38 beat consensus, while reported EBITDA was pressured by higher freight and initial tariff impact . EPS and revenue topped S&P Global consensus; EBITDA came in below consensus on a GAAP basis but adjusted EBITDA was resilient .*
- Guidance was raised for full-year net sales to $565–$580M, while gross margin was tightened to ~36% and adjusted EBITDA maintained at $86–$92M, signaling confidence in demand but caution on cost headwinds .
- Key positives: Vita Coco Coconut Water net sales up 25% globally; International net sales up 37%; Treats rollout contributed meaningfully to “Other” category; healthy cash balance ($167M) and no debt .
- Key pressure: Gross margin fell to 36.3% (from 40.8% in Q2’24) on elevated ocean freight, finished goods costs, and baseline 10% tariffs; SG&A increased on marketing, personnel, bad debt reserves, and rent overlap .
- Near-term stock catalysts: raised revenue guidance; tariff trajectory and mitigation; margin cadence (Q3 sequentially lower; Q4 improvement); Walmart reset prospects and Treats distribution expansion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Vita Coco Coconut Water net sales grew 25% globally; Americas +22% and International +43%, driven by category strength and improved inventory/service levels .
- International segment strong: net sales +37% YoY with coconut water +43%; momentum in U.K. and Germany from targeted investments .
- Raised FY25 net sales guidance to $565–$580M; Treats national rollout supporting top line alongside high-teens branded growth assumptions .
Quotes:
- “For the quarter, Vita Coco Coconut Water net sales grew 25% globally… We believe this growth is being fueled by our investment as the category leader… driving increased household adoption and new consumption occasions.” — Michael Kirban .
- “Our exceptionally strong shipment performance… benefited from very strong demand… and great execution from our teams.” — Martin Roper .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression: consolidated GM fell to 36.3% from 40.8% YoY due to higher ocean freight rates, finished goods costs, and baseline 10% tariffs .
- SG&A increased to $36.14M (+$7M YoY) on increased marketing, personnel costs, higher bad debt reserves, and overlapping rent; adjusted EBITDA declined YoY to $29.24M .
- Private label declines: Americas private label net sales fell 37% to $14.69M amid expected transitions; management flagged turbulence in PL comps near-term .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance vs Prior Quarters
Year-over-Year (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Segment and Category Net Sales (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Segment Gross Margin and CE Volume KPIs (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The coconut water category continues to be one of the fastest growing… Vita Coco Coconut Water maintaining strong retail sales growth… Americas growing 22% and International growing 43%.” — Michael Kirban .
- “Our increased full year net sales expectations are based on… high teens Vita Coco Coconut Water growth, and the national roll out of Vita Coco Treats… partially offset by a decrease in private label sales.” — Martin Roper .
- “Gross margins were down… due to… higher ocean freight… higher finished goods product cost, and the 10% baseline tariff… partially offset by favorable product mix.” — Corey Baker .
- “We are confident in our ability to continue to deliver strong top-line performance and therefore are raising our full-year net sales guidance to between $565 million and $580 million… full-year adjusted EBITDA of $86 million to $92 million.” — Corey Baker .
Non-GAAP adjustments and impact:
- Adjusted EBITDA adds back stock-based compensation, derivative gains/losses, FX, and other adjustments including a one-time 2023 incentive program and overlapping NYC office rent; Q2 2025 other adjustments totaled $0.95M .
- Q2 2025 Adjusted EBITDA: $29.24M vs GAAP EBITDA $26.88M; YoY Adjusted EBITDA down $3.00M on higher SG&A .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff trajectory and EBITDA impact: management operating under 10% baseline; additional announced tariffs not in outlook; mitigation actions feasible over time; baseline applied to ~60% global COGS, with potential retaliatory scenarios previously discussed .
- Margin cadence: pricing mitigation lag and elevated freight drive Q3 GM down sequentially; Q4 GM expected to improve; full-year ~36% GM reiterated .
- Private label outlook: Q2 reflects known losses; comps turbulent near-term; new PL contract secured for 2026; baseline ~$15M in Q2 Americas PL .
- Walmart reset: discussions underway for expanded distribution; timing around Sept–Nov; velocities on retained SKUs up >50% .
- C-store expansion: ACV increasing; strong velocities (e.g., 1L in 7-Eleven) with continued push across independents .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications:
- Revenue and EPS beats reflect robust branded demand and Treats contribution; EBITDA miss on GAAP basis driven by cost inflation and tariff onset; Adjusted EBITDA resilience suggests core profitability excluding non-operating items .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Top-line momentum intact: coconut water category acceleration and Treats rollout underpin raised FY net sales guidance; watch International growth (U.K., Germany) for sustained outperformance .
- Margin volatility near-term: expect Q3 GM dip from tariff/pricing lag and freight timing; Q4 improvement anticipated; full-year ~36% GM reiterated .
- Tariff path is the swing factor: baseline 10% assumed; additional tariffs excluded pending detail; diversified sourcing and pricing actions provide mitigation levers .
- Retail distribution catalysts: Walmart reset could re-accelerate U.S. scans in 2026; C-store gains and convenience velocities support mix and visibility .
- Private label drag moderating: Q2 reflects known losses; new PL business in 2026 may stabilize trajectory; model near-term turbulence but medium-term recovery potential .
- Balance sheet strength: $167M cash, no debt, supports promotional activity and strategic investments without leverage risk .
- Trade setup: near-term sentiment likely driven by tariff headlines and margin cadence; medium-term thesis rests on category growth, brand leadership, international scaling, and Treats innovation .
Additional Notes:
- All financial figures and management commentary are sourced from the company’s Q2 2025 press release and 8-K 2.02, and Q2 2025 earnings call transcript.
- Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA definitions and reconciliations are provided by the company; GAAP vs non-GAAP comparability noted where relevant.
Citations: Press release (Q2 2025): 8-K (Q2 2025, Item 2.02): Earnings call transcript (Q2 2025): Prior quarters for trend: Q1 2025 press release/8-K: Q4 2024 8-K: